Showing posts with label Football. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Football. Show all posts

Friday, 4 September 2026

Every winning 1.01 Lay I Had From September 2025 to August 2026

Hello readers, I was recently asked my someone "how many winning 1.01 lays do you make a year?" After a moment of thought the only answer I could give is that I didn't know. So I am going to make a log of my 1.01 winning lays between that start of September and end of the following August. I genuinely don't know how many it could be, this entire blog entry could be one small paragraph or go on for pages. I shall list them below and any analysis I do should be in a years time.


16/09/25, Football, Champions League, Juventus Vs Borussia Dortmund, Match Market.


25/10/25 Football, Premiership, Brentford Vs Liverpool, Half Time Score.


29/10/25 Tennis, ATP Paris, G Diallo Vs Alex de Minaur, Set 1 Winner.


01/12/25 Horse Racing, Wolverhampton, 1m1f Handicap, lay of Token Love.


03/02/26 Football, League Cup, Arsenal Vs Chelsea, lay of +0.5 goals.


27/02/26 Tennis, WTA Merida, A Lee Vs Z Somnez, Match Market. 


13/04/26 Horse Racing, Hexham, 2m Handicap Hurdles, lay of Shes Notjoeking.


02/05/26 Football, Arsenal Vs Fulham, lay of 2-0 Half Time Score.


18/06/26 Football, World Cup, Switzerland Vs Bosnia, lay of Under 4.5 goals.


10/07/26 Horse Racing, Worcester, 2m4f Novice Hurdles, lay of Yellow Card.


08/08/26 Football, Premiera Liga, FC Estrella Vs Sporting Lisbon, lay of Sporting Match Market.


10/08/26 Football, League Cup, Plymouth Argyle Vs Exeter, lay of under 1.5 goals.




Laid at 1.01 and backed higher for profit. To explain this technique I will often lay at 1.01 for £1.00 to back higher if the price rises then back for £50.00. Markets I tend to do this on the most are football match markets with two or more goal leads and tennis match markets;


12/10/25, Football, World Cup Qualifier, Scotland Vs Belarus, Match Market, laid at 1.01 and backed at 1.03. 


13/10/25, Football, World Cup Qualifier, Wales Vs Belgium, Match Market, laid at 1.01 and backed at 1.04.


25/10/25, Football, Premiership, Manchester Utd Vs Brentford, Match Market, laid at 1.01 and backed at 1.06.


15/11/25, Football, World Cup Qualifier, Greece Vs Scotland, Match Market, laid at 1.01 and backed at 1.07.


31/12/25, Football, African Cup of Nations, Equatorial Guinea Vs Algeria, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.03.


12/01/26, Football, EFL Trophy, AFC Wimbledon Vs West Ham U21, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.09.


01/02/26 Football, Premiership, Manchester Utd Vs Fulham, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.16.


14/02/26, Football, Eredivisie, Ajax Vs Fortuna Sittard, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.04.


14/02/26, Football, Serie A, Inter Vs Juventus, Over/Under 5.5 Goals, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.03.


16/02/26, Horse Racing, Wolverhampton, 1m4f Handicap, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.10.


03/03/26, Football, Premiership, Wolverhampton Vs Liverpool, Over/Under 3.5 laid at 1.01 backed at 1.07.


14/03/26 Football, Championship, Coventry City Vs Southampton, Match Odds laid at 1.01 backed at 1.13.


05/04/26, Cricket, IPL, Sunrisers Hadribad Vs Lucknow Super Giants, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.10.


06/04/26, Tennis, Monte Carlo Masters, S Baez Vs Stan Wawrinka, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.10.


14/04/26, Tennis, Barcelona Open, Carlos Alcaraz Vs Otto Virtanen, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.06.


19/04/26, Football, Premiership, Aston Villa Vs Sunderland, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 4.9.


23/04/26, Tennis, Madrid Masters, Adolfo Vallejo Vs Grigor Dimitrov, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.05.


26/04/26, Tennis, Madrid Masters, Elena Rybakina Vs Qinwen Zheng, Match Market, laid 1.01 backed at 1.03.


20/06/26 Football, World Cup, Netherlands Vs Sweden, Over/Under 7.5 Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.03.


07/07/26 Football, World Cup, Argentina Vs Egypt, Over/Under 5.5 Goal Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.05.


02/08/26 Cricket, Womens 100, Trent Rockets Vs Sunrisers Leeds, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.21.


08/08/26, Tennis, WTA Toronto, M Kostyuk Vs Iga Swiatek, Match Market, laid at 1.01 backed at 1.08.


08/08/26 Tennis, ATP Montreal, Le Tien Vs Tirante, Match Market, laid @ 1.01 backed at 1.05.


30/08/26 Football, Premiership, Man Utd Vs Ipswich, 7.5 Goal Market, laid @ 1.01 backed at 1.03.



I'm quite that the Borussia Dortmund were involved in the first winning lay. As expected tennis turns up a lot in this these trades. A lot more international football turns up than I expected - Scotland turn up twice! I would have expected more tennis to turn up. Due to some tactics I've developed over the last few months goal markets should pop up more often.

Tuesday, 21 July 2026

Top 10 Games From World Cup 2026

Afternoon after the night before and in reflection its been a fantastic tournament that didn't get the final it deserved. My unexpected highlight was Cape Verde who brought an attitude to the World Cup I wish everyone would bring. Panto villains of the tournament included Darwin Nunez who threatened to take the cup by storm and catapult himself back into the Champions League who did nothing, Leandro Paredes who started the tournament as a prick and morphed into a **** and the top villain Tronald Dump who got a US red card rescinded.


Players of the tournament included Cape Verde keeper Vozinha who went on to have his Instagram follower amount blow up and had the honour of having a sea slug named after him, Messi who lifted a bunch of thugs* to get to the final and Martin Odegaard for a team lifting performance.

My top 10 matches were (I didn't see all the matches)

10. Uruguay 2 - 2 Cape Verde.
9. Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan.
8. Germany 2 - 1 Ivory Coast.
7. Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden.
6. Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany.
5. Brazil 1 - 2 Norway.
4. Spain 0 - 0 Cape Verde.
3. Argentina 3 - 2 Cape Verde (AET).
2. Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal (AET).
1. Egypt 2 - 3 Argentina.

Saturday, 8 June 2024

Euro 2024 - Group F Thoughts

 Group F thoughts:



Turkey, in theory the average football fan should loathe Turkey the same way they loathe Portugal. Their league is full of tacklers that wouldn't look out of place in Fight Club, they export footballers of the thugish variety and have some of the worst fans in football. Despite this they looked good in qualifying only losing one game to Croatia and topping a group that included Wales. The squad is nothing to write home about, bar Hakan Calhanoglu its full of squad players that teams around Europe have taken a chance on and had it not pay off coupled with players of little note from the Super Lig. Very much a team that on paper that offers little however they have a decent chance of getting out of the group and I wouldn't mind seeing them out Portugaling Portugal.


Players to watch out for;


Hakan Calhanoglu - a mainstay of Serie A for the last few years and well into double figures in goals for Inter Milan.



Georgia? Is this right? It is? How the **** did this happen? The Nations League? Say no more... Hopefully they can honour the memory of Ray Traylor, they knocked out Greece in qualifying so they deserve a cheer from us and hopefully they won't get humiliated.


Players to watch out for;


Khvicha Kvaratskhelia - a tricky winger whose looked good for Napoli in recent years.



Portugal, the pantomime villains of Europe will either win the group or ball it up in comedic fashion. They could face either Germany or Spain if the tournament goes to form, they dominated qualifying and look ominous. I hate them.


Players to watch out for:


Diogo Jota - the only Liverpool forward to escape criticism this season.

Joao Neves - The next big thing to come out of Portugal.



Czech Republic, finished second in their group and won only four games in qualifying. Normally the Czechs are a team that could potentially trouble the second favourites of the group but given how close they are to Turkey in quality and the odds its a coin toss between them and Turkey. Mostly made up of Czech league players and a few decent pro's from around Europe this is a team I don't know well. One for the notebook...


Players to watch out for'


Haven't a clue.



Bets and trades:


Overs on bookings for Turkey Vs Portugal.

Sunday, 2 June 2024

Euro 2024 - Thoughts on Group E

 Group E thoughts;


Belgium, I really like Belgium. The previous World Cup was painted as that generations last chance at greatness, presumably nobody informed Jan Vertonghen or Axel Witsel of this as amazingly their still going. Even though some names are gone their are still some of the generation fighting against the dying of the light to compliment the next generation. They excelled in qualification and should top this group, however I see them meeting France in the Quarter finals and should give them a good game.


Players to watch out for:


Jeremy Doku - I've loved this guy for the last few seasons he runs with the ball like no others do.

Lois Openda - Something of a novelty in that he's a good Belgian striker who isn't Romelu Lukaku.



Slovakia, did well in qualifying finishing second to Evil Portugal. A lot of decent players and should push Belgium but I can't see them doing much in the knockout stages.


Players to watch out for:


This team is a squad rather than having a few players of note.



Romania, a team full of players who I'm not familiar with. Having topped their group and not lost they're a team I for one will be keeping an eye on and have my notebook open for.



Ukraine, finished third in their group - pipped by Italy and qualified via the playoffs. A team mostly made up from the Ukraine league and utility players from abroad. Hopefully they can do something to lift their nation.


Players to watch out for:


Vicktor Tsyhankov - Part of a tasty Girona side.



Bets and trades


Belgium to win the group.

Soppy £1.00 on Ukraine to qualify from the group.

Saturday, 1 June 2024

Euro 2024 - Thoughts on Group D

Group D thoughts;


Poland, there are three certainties in life - death, taxes and Mexico always getting through to the second round of the World Cup. Thanks to Poland after the last World Cup there are now only two certainties, they must be knocked out or the world will collapse into chaos - the dead will rise, the seas will evaporate and the World hurtle out of its orbit spinning into darkness. Only the Dutch, Austrians and French can save us from this fate.


Players to watch out for:


The opposition as they sweep forward and tonk Poland 10-0.



Netherlands, they did not look too good during qualifying and very nearly tripped up in a few games. However they have a really good decent little squad albeit no quality goal keeper. In defence they have Frimpong, van Dijk, Ake and de Ligt. Midfield of Blind, Gravenberch and Koopmeiners. Plus Brobbey and Gakpo upfront. They have the potential to do very well - especially with the draw if they finish runner up but, instinct says someone will do them or they'll screw it up.


Players to watch out for:


Brian Brobbey - the next potential big thing to come out of Ajax.

Teun Koopmeiners - one of my favourite middle three players currently in football. We will run his legs off and then run a little bit further.



Austria, trying to get excited about Austria is like trying to get excited for a trip to Aldi you might not want to go there but you're probably going to enjoy the results of going. Narrowly pipped for the top spot in qualifying by Belgium - and came back from 3-0 down to finish 3-2 in a game which must have had the Belgium fans tearing their hair out. A team full of journey men and aging pro's, they have a good chance of making the next round, I'd just rather they didn't.


Players to watch out for:


Marko Arnautovic - so tall that he may score a rebound from the moon.



France, imo the favourites its going to take a lot to beat them and whoever does will no doubt knacker themselves and get knocked out in the next round. I can't say anything that you haven't heard before, they walked qualifying and are the team to beat. I don't rate the goal keepers but I rate the defence and midfield in front of them.


Players to watch out for:


Kylian Mbappe - a basic prediction but he'll either rule the tournament or be a good watch as he combusts.



Bets and trades


Low level lay of Poland to qualify.

Back of France to win the group.

Min stakes on France/Austria forecast for Fritz and Giggles.

A group where I'm going to have to sit down and do some thinking as there's a lot of value in this market.   

Monday, 27 May 2024

Euro 2024 - Thoughts on Group C

 Group C thoughts;


Slovenia, qualified in what was the qualifying group of death where even the fourth placed team still got 18 points. Finishing second to the Danes with the same points, more goals scored and a better goal difference they can now enjoy the competition and forget about the Denmark.


Players to watch out for:


Benjamin Sesko - when not captaining Deep Space Nine he has had a very good season for RB Leipzig.



Denmark, oh dear look who just walked into the party wearing the same dress as Slovenia... Lets hope they can have a fun time without having a cardiac arrest like last time. Finished top of a crazy group and they have it in them to get out of this group.


Players to watch out for:


Rasmus Hoijlund - a player more suited to international football than club football.

Skov Olsen - one of those Belgian League players who someone should be taking a chance on.



Serbia, qualified second in their group have looked really good recently and have a squad full of familiar names. Also they've got the mix just right with some crusty veterans mixed with some youngsters. A team I really think can do well and have it in them to cause a shock.


Players to watch out for:


Lazar Samardic - a really bright spark in a dull Udinese side.

Dusan Vlahivic - a really smart striker who should be more well known.



England, this group is going to be England plus one other. They walked qualifying and are deservedly one of the favourites. They will go far, they are a team that for a while have been strong up front and are weaker the further back you go. But if they can stick a young central defender in next to Stones to get experience, get through the left back injury issue and hypnotise Pickford to think he plays for Liverpool instead of Everton they can cope with these issues.


Players to watch out for:


Declan Rice - after a move from West Ham to Arsenal he's gone up a level.

Jude Bellingham - an insane season in La Liga after moving to Real Madrid.

Philbert Foden - ended the season as the form player in the EPL.



Bets and trades


England to win the group.

Min stakes on Serbia to qualify.

Overs on Bookings for that final match of Serbia Vs Denmark which I suspect will be for second place.

Sunday, 26 May 2024

Euro 2024 - Group B Thoughts

 Group B thoughts;


Spain? Spain?! Spain!!! Wake up Spain!!! I'm trying to do a preview here and not only have you not announced your squad yet your league season hasn't finished! So if Spain aren't going to make an effort neither am I. Spain...


Players to watch out for:


Whichever of them sets their alarm and turns up.



Croatia, a team made up of players who on reading the squad generate such comments as "is he still going" and "oh I forgot he ever existed." Case in point, Mateo Kovacic has played 46 times for Manchester City last season and my most recent memory of him is getting a yellow card for Inter Milam in 2012. They comfortably qualified, played alright but there's something uninspiring about them. Given Spain may have forgot to put the tournament in their calendar, Italy don't look too good and Albania topped their qualifying group they can get out of this group but I don't expect much from them.


Players to watch out for:


Mario Pasalic - had a really good season.

Luca Modric - appreciate him while he's still here.



Italy, as a Serie A viewer its rather depressing to see how poor Italy look at the moment. No strikers, a rather dull midfield and another crop of defenders over 30. Qualifying was brown trousers time and they look pretty bad. My pick to go out early and spend the rest of the tournament writing a strongly worded email about how they should get a bye to the final.


Players to watch out for:


Giacomo Raspadori - had a really good season for Napoli.

Federico Chiesa - every tournament theres a player who will turn on the style because they want a move, this is that player.



Albania, finished top of their qualifying group by winning only half of their games. They will be viewed as the minnows of this group but don't underestimate them. A dangerous floater for those looking to rest players against them or who forget to set their alarm clock.


Players to look out for:


Jasir Asani - played really well during qualifying.

Berat Djimsiti - another very good Atalanta player.



Bets and trades


Lay overall of Italy.

Otherwise theres not a lot of value in this group.

Minimum stakes lay of Italy to qualify.

If you fancy a fun £1.00 on Croatia to qualify as most people apparently I'd wait for their price to go up a bit. 

Saturday, 25 May 2024

Euro 2024 - Group A Thoughts

 Thoughts on Group A;


Surely Germany can't screw this group up? Can they? Well lets have a look. Results wise they've been in friendly limbo with some odd results. Squad wise they look in transition, we have a few 30+ players on the verge of international retirement, a few up and comers (notably from Leverkusen and Stuttgart) and dare I say it a few journeymen who I'm looking at while wondering "how are they in the squad?"


I see them getting through the group although not with ease. There is a very good German 15 in here but I don't think they have the depth to get to the final. I see them going out at the quarter or semi final stage.


Players to watch out for:


Florian Wirtz - the star player of this season Bundesliga, so much of how Germany do depends on him.

Deniz Undav - the form German striker this season.

Kai Havertz - a very good season for Arsenal.



Scotland, Steve Clarke has put together a good squad who didn't just eek into the tournament on the back of some 1-0 wins, they nearly won the group, beat Spain and amazingly scored some goals - they never had a 1-0 victory during qualifying. Hopefully they can take this form into the tournament, odds wise their the outsiders for the group but I'm hoping they can cause some more upsets.


Players to watch out for:


Ncuti Gatwa - good start to his career part of a good partnership on his debut with David Tennant, but needs to concentrate more and stop running into minefields.



Hungary, played some really good stuff comfortably won their group, the goals have been spread around the team and like Scotland look quite good. Bar Dominik Szoboszlai no real big names so lets hope to uncover an unknown gem.


Players to watch out for:


Dominik Szoboszlai - everything about this team revolves through him.



Switzerland, they've played some really good football, scored a lot of goals and generally had a fun time in qualifying. They're often about in the early stages of competitions sometimes knocking out a big name only to go out themselves the next round. Checking my notes aside from Granite Chaka Khan and Yann Sommer there isn't a lot to write home about. In Switzerland I find a team I don't want to do well, I want Hungary or Scotland to get through this group and in order for them to do that they need to get something from Switzerland who are the second favourites in this group.


Players to watch out for:


Remo Freuler - a good all round player whose had an outstanding season for Bologna and someone who I find to be unappreciated.


 

Bets and trades;


My big lay of the tournament is Germany, I think they'll win and I think the host factor is lowering their odds. 5/1 is a good lay as even if they do win I think the price will go longer at some stage.


Low level minimum stakes lay of Switzerland to finish top 2 in the group.